Possible Divisions for next year 2017-2018

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wchreidman
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Possible Divisions for next year 2017-2018

Post by wchreidman » Wed Mar 15, 2017 8:29 am

THis was taken from another website

Only Possible not guaranteed

I went through all the proposed enrollments, along with assessing who was a team at the sectional, and came up with the following.

Please note:
-in most cases I used the ENTRY GRID on BaumsPage and not the bracket, so there may be slight differences in what was submitted to OHSAA
-SEVEN or more participants at the sectional is a team
-the enrollment numbers on OHSAA site are subject to appeal, and it should be noted that the city schools enrollments will change

I counted up 492 "teams" and 603 "schools" in the post-season this year

I have the following projections:
363-up is D1 (164)
201-362 is D2 (164)
200-down is D3 (164)



Should these numbers hold (both in terms of "cut-line" and "school enrollment figures"), some notables:

D2 TO D1
Ashland
Western Brown
Whitehall
Mansfield Madison
New Philadelphia

D1 TO D2
Aurora
Chardon
Louisville
Mansfield

NOTABLE D2/D1 BUBBLE: Aurora & Canfield

D3 TO D2
Harrison Central
Zane Trace
Galion
Amanda-Clearcreek
Otsego
Utica

D2 TO D3
Crestwood
Indian Lake
Reading

NOTABLE D3/D2 BUBBLE Upper Sandusky, Amanda-Clearcreek, Otsego, Utica, Crestwood, Indian Lake, Swanton, Milan Edison

Based on the ratios I have, there should be no change in D2
-NE five sectionals, one goes to NW
-NW three sectionals
-SW three sectionals (couple teams to SE)
-SE two sectionals
-C/E each have single sectional plus a combo sectional

Based on the ratios I have, DIII should go back to where it was previous to the last two years
-NE has four sectionals
-NW has five sectionals (one goes to SW)
-SW has three sectionals
-C/E/SE combine for four sectionals (and one district)

Based on the ratios I have for D1, things should be very similar
-SW for sure has four sectionals
-C for sure has four sectionals
-NW/NE has to create eight sectionals (the ratios would suggest NE gets six, NW gets two, though NE teams move over to the NW to make it "work").



tric118
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Re: Possible Divisions for next year 2017-2018

Post by tric118 » Wed Mar 15, 2017 11:15 am

WOW the D3 East district would get much weaker without Harrison Central, Zane Trace, Utica and Amanda.

wchreidman
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Re: Possible Divisions for next year 2017-2018

Post by wchreidman » Wed Mar 15, 2017 12:02 pm

tric118 wrote:WOW the D3 East district would get much weaker without Harrison Central, Zane Trace, Utica and Amanda.
It will be interesting to see how they split the d2 and d3 sectionals then.

Athens team
, Chillicothe,non team
Fairfield Union team
, Gallia Academy team
Jackson,team
Marietta,non team
Meigs teams
, New Lexington team
, Sheridan, team
Vinton County, team
Warren. team
: Circleville,team
Hillsboro,team
Logan Elm,team
McClain, non team
Miami Trace,team
Unioto,team
Washington (Washington C.H.) team

14 teams without any changes and you throw in the 3 non teams 17 total

Zane Trace 226 Moves up for sure
Amanda Clearcreek on the fence at 206 but probably moves up and goes Central
Meigs at 204 on the Fence

Southeast should still have 2 division 2 Sectionals just not sure if they will keep 1 sectional with SE and East. I have heard they may send 4 teams from SE to east and then the rest come back southwest

wrestlefan
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Re: Possible Divisions for next year 2017-2018

Post by wrestlefan » Wed Mar 15, 2017 1:19 pm

zt has a huge 9th grade class and a tiny 8th grade (40 boys!)
we will be up for the 2 years then be back down

wchreidman
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Re: Possible Divisions for next year 2017-2018

Post by wchreidman » Wed Mar 15, 2017 1:39 pm

wrestlefan wrote:zt has a huge 9th grade class and a tiny 8th grade (40 boys!)
we will be up for the 2 years then be back down

Wow thats a huge difference

tric118
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Re: Possible Divisions for next year 2017-2018

Post by tric118 » Thu Mar 16, 2017 11:42 am

With the cutoff looking like it will be around 200 here are teams in the D3 Southeast/Central/East district on the line. I am sure I missed a few. Teams with a * looks like a lock to be D2 next year

235 Harrison Central *
226 Zane Trace *
211 Westfall *
206 Amanda Clearcreek
205 Fairland
204 Alexander
204 Utica

198 River Valley Bidwell
196 Heath

svac83
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Re: Possible Divisions for next year 2017-2018

Post by svac83 » Fri Apr 14, 2017 5:12 pm

I dont know if my math is correct or not. But i have the d-2 d3 cutoff right at 200 with that number. I would think the SE would keep 2 sectionals and either have no teams from SW or just 1 team from SW. i have them in d2- 19 teams and 21 schools.

In d-3 southeast. i only have 8 full teams and 16 schools. i think they will have to take some teams from central or east to finish out this sectional.

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