Region 11 2022

[muskiefan11]

Week 8 Playoff Outlook
Locks (13):
TV, Jackson, BC, Chilli, Granville, Sheridan, Watterson, Bellefontaine, Washington, London, Alder, South, Beechcroft.

Contenders (3 spots remaining):
4-2 Hamilton Twp 90% (need 5-4)
2-5 Miami Trace 75% (need 4-6)
3-4 Zanesville 43% (bubble if 4-6)
4-3 Whitehall 42% (bubble if 5-5)
4-3 Circleville 24% (need 6-4)
3-3 Linden McKinley 20% (need 5-4)
2-5 JG 10% (need 5-5)

[muskiefan11]

Remaining Games for Contenders:
HT: Circleville, Liberty Union, Bloom-Carroll
MT: Hillsboro, McClain, Washington
Zville: Granville, Watkins Mem., Logan
Whall: Harvest Prep, Buckeye Valley, Cbus Academy
Circle: Hamilton Twp, Fairfield Union, Liberty Union
LMcK: Lucas, Whetstone, East
JG: River View, Philo, Tri-Valley

Must have record:
HT 1-2
MT 2-1
Zville 1-2
Whall 1-2
Circle: 2-1
LMcK: 2-1
JG: 3-0

[teach1coach2]

Hoping Zanesville finishes #16 and travels 10 miles north to Tri-Valley.

[muskiefan11]

Hoping Zanesville finishes #16 and travels 10 miles north to Tri-Valley.

I would like to see that matchup. Why did they stop playing each other? Doyle is a great athlete/playmaker but Tv is a much better team.

[teach1coach2]

Drama between fans was becoming the norm. They are not playing in any sport for the time being.

[VetteMan]

Week 8 Playoff Outlook
Locks (13):
TV, Jackson, BC, Chilli, Granville, Sheridan, Watterson, Bellefontaine, Washington, London, Alder, South, Beechcroft.

Contenders (3 spots remaining):
4-2 Hamilton Twp 90% (need 5-4)
2-5 Miami Trace 75% (need 4-6)
3-4 Zanesville 43% (bubble if 4-6)
4-3 Whitehall 42% (bubble if 5-5)
4-3 Circleville 24% (need 6-4)
3-3 Linden McKinley 20% (need 5-4)
2-5 JG 10% (need 5-5)

Thanks for the update.

[muskiefan11]

Week 9 Playoff Outlook
In (13):
TV Home, 95% Home Twice
Jackson 92% Home, 61% Home Twice
Watterson Home, 75% Home Twice
BC 97% Home, 42% Home Twice
Granville 68% Home, 8% Home Twice
Sheridan 81% Home, 32% Home Twice
Bellefontaine 80% Home, 35% Home Twice
Washington 78% Home, 26% Home Twice
London 57% Home, 21% Home Twice
Chillicothe 32% Home, 4% Home Twice
South 15% Home
Beechcroft
Hamilton Twp.

Contenders (3 spots remaining):
5-3 Jonathan Alder 97% (need 5-5)
3-5 Miami Trace 85% (need 4-6)
4-4 Whitehall 46% (bubble if 5-5)
3-5 Zanesville 37% (bubble if 4-6)
3-4 Linden McKinley 16% (need 5-4)
3-5 JG 11% (need 5-5)
4-4 Circleville 9% (bubble if 6-4)

[mackdog]

My new guess heading into week 9:

1. Watterson
2. Bellefontaine
3. Jackson
4. Granville
5. Tri-Valley

[muskiefan11]

Week 10 Playoff Outlook
In (15):
TV, Jackson, Watterson, Sheridan, Bellefontaine, BC, Chilli, London, Granville, Washington, South, Beechcroft, Alder, HTwp, MT

Post Week 10 Points Scenarios (Eitel Win/Loss Min and Max, Scenario included if 30%+ chance of a win or loss)
28.9500 Jackson win vs Chilli 88%
28.5500 Sheridan win vs NL 76%
27.6021 Watterson win vs Hartley 57%
27.0283 TV win vs JG 94%
26.4500 Bellefontaine win vs London 48%
25.7101 BC win vs HTwp 96%
25.5192 London win vs Bellefontaine 52%
25.2000 Granville win vs Watkins Mem 60%
25.0708 Watterson loss vs Hartley 43%
24.3401 South win vs Marion-Franklin 36%
22.8500 Bellefontaine loss vs London 52%
22.6854 Washington win vs MT 83%
21.3500 Chilli loss vs Jackson 88%
20.6763 London loss vs Bellefontaine 48%
20.2500 Granville loss vs Watkins Mem 40%
19.6992 South loss vs Marion-Franklin 64%
18.9011 Beechcroft win vs Northland 74%
18.6000 Alder win vs Shawnee 48%
15.7000 Alder loss vs Shawnee 52%
15.4295 Beechcroft loss vs Northland 26%
13.8333 HTwp loss vs BC 96%
10.6000 MT loss vs Washington 83%

Contenders (All win scenarios included. Zanesville, Whitehall, or Circleville could potentially make it in even with a loss)
10.2439 Linden McKinley win vs Cols East 16%
9.0500 Zanesville win vs Logan 62%
9.3000 JG win vs TV 6%
8.7418 Whitehall win vs Cols Academy 43%
8.3116 Circleville win vs Liberty Union 18%
6.5000 Athens win vs Nelsonville-York 1%
6.1263 Marietta win vs Warren 7%

[muskiefan11]

Best Games this week in the Region:
Bishop Watterson @ Bishop Hartley 57%
Bellefontaine @ London 52%
Watkins Memorial @ Granville 60%
Shawnee 52% @ Jonathan Alder
New Lexington @ Sheridan 76%

[countywide35]

Best Games this week in the Region:
Bishop Watterson @ Bishop Hartley 57%
Bellefontaine @ London 52%
Watkins Memorial @ Granville 60%
Shawnee 52% @ Jonathan Alder
New Lexington @ Sheridan 76%

Jackson and Chillicothe is a big one too They high in this region and squaring off this week.

[muskiefan11]

Matchups according to Eitel

16 Circleville @ 1 Sheridan
15 Miami Trace @ 2 Jackson
14 Hamilton Twp @ 3 Bishop Watterson
13 Jonathan Alder @ 4 Tri-Valley
12 Beechcroft @ 5 Bloom-Carroll
11 Chillicothe @ 6 London
10 Bellefontaine @ 7 Granville
9 Washington CH @ 8 Columbus South

[muskiefan11]

London v Chillicothe rematch and Granville v Bellefontaine will be dandies.

[mackdog]

The #1 seed ended up being the spot to avoid Watterson until the regional final. Had Burg not slipped up last night Jackson would have had a path with slightly less resistance. Either way you have to win and advance.

1. Watterson
2. Jackson
3. Granville
4. Sheridan
5. Tri-Valley

[Ironman92]

The #1 seed ended up being the spot to avoid Watterson until the regional final. Had Burg not slipped up last night Jackson would have had a path with slightly less resistance. Either way you have to win and advance.

1. Watterson
2. Jackson
3. Granville
4. Sheridan
5. Tri-Valley

Yes, stinks Burg was beat but also Jackson should’ve won vs Ironton and Tri Valley and would had one of the highest computer point totals in the entire state.

[Raider6309]

Jackson definitely got a tough draw

[muskiefan11]

That Jackson, Watterson, London, Granville, Bellefontaine and Chillicothe side has to be one of the toughest paths to the regional final in the state.

[teach1coach2]

Harbin seeding sure was good to the MVL teams.

MVL side of Region 11 bracket
#1 Sheridan v #16 Circleville
#8 Columbus South v #9 Washinton CH
winners play week 12

#4 Tri-Valley v #13 Jonathan Alder
#5 Bloom Carroll v #12 Beechcroft
winners play week 12

I do think Tri-Valley got the toughest draw week 11 on this side of the bracket.

[teach1coach2]

16 Circleville @ 1 Sheridan
15 Miami Trace @ 2 Jackson
14 Hamilton Twp @ 3 Bishop Watterson
13 Jonathan Alder @ 4 Tri-Valley
12 Beechcroft @ 5 Bloom-Carroll
11 Chillicothe @ 6 London
10 Bellefontaine @ 7 Granville
9 Washington CH @ 8 Columbus South

[teach1coach2]

My picks
1 Sheridan
2 Jackson
3 Bishop Watterson
4 Tri-Valley
5 Bloom-Carroll
6 London
10 Bellefontaine
9 Washington CH