Re: region 15 playoff picture updated through week 7

[svac83]

week 10 minimums week 10 divisors
1. St. clairsville 11.95
2. indian valley 9.32
3. gallia academy 8.55
4. unioto 7.10
5. bloom carroll 6.69
6. fairland 6.65
7. licking valley 5.68
8. philo 4.15
zane trace 3.97
john glenn 3.90


projections after week 10. i am sure there were be plenty of changes to this but i have my spread sheet ready to update weekly.

1. st clairsville 10-0 29.35
2. indian valley 9-1 19.05
3. fairland 7-3 17.59
4. unioto 8-2 16.83
5. gallia academy 8-2 15.60
6. licking valley 7-3 14.56
7. bloom carroll 8-2 13.79
8. philo 7-3 13.10
john glenn 6-4 10.20
zane trace 6-4 10.07
river view 7-3 8.85

some big games in week 7
st clairsville and bellaire
nloom carroll and amanda clear creek
unioto and southeastern
zane trace and paint valley
meigs and athens

[superblue]

So your final rankings after week 10 is based on gallia beating Fairland and Fairland winning out ? And gallia loosing to Ironton and winning out? Not saying you are wrong but it seems odd we can beat Fairland and they will gather more points than us especially since all the remaining games are league games.. maybe Fairlands win over athens would give them the edge?

[FANOSPORTS]

week 10 minimums week 10 divisors
1. St. clairsville 9.50
2. indian valley 7.70
3. unioto 6.09
4. gallia academy 5.75
5. fairland 5.18
6. licking valley 4.68
7. bloom carroll 4.27
8. philo 4.15
new lexington 3.85
zane trace 3.41

projections after week 10. i am sure there were be plenty of changes to this but i have my spread sheet ready to update weekly.

1. st clairsville 10-0 29.55
2. indian valley 10-0 23.13
3. unioto 9-1 21.874
4. bloom carroll 9-1 17.68
5. fairland 7-3 17.54
6. philo 7-3 16.15
7. gallia academy 8-2 16.00
8. licking valley 7-3 14.56
zane trace 7-3 12.44

a lot of big games and half a season to go. i am sure this will change every week.
fairland big win over athens giving them a boat load of level 2 points.

I agree for the most part. Bloom could easily lose to Amanda and Gallipolis doesn't want to play SC or IV in the 1st round so they need to beat Ironton which will be difficult.

[outerbanksjake]

St C looks to go 10-0, only Bellaire has a slight chance to beat them and it is slight.

[svac83]

The fairland total can be a little deceiving I know nothing about those teams tolsia West Virginia still has to play so those points a total guess. And if river valley could beat Alexander and south Gallia. The blue devils total could easily get to 16.8. But basically in the league Gallia would have .5 points for beating fairland. And about 3.0 points for fairlands seven wins. So fairland beat tolsia West Virginia who I have going 6-4 and Athens going 9-1 so that gives them aproximently 7.0 points in final multiple. So that gives them like a 3.0 lead. I have river valley going winless and meigs with I think 4 wins so close to 1.8 points. So that is why fairland would be ahead of them.

There are several teams that could easily lose one more game then I have them loosing. I didn’t do it here because I think it would be a upset but paint valley could also upset unioto. Indian valley could also lose to either faraway or ridge wood but all those game would be upsets.

I think st clairsville number 1 seed even at 9-1 still a lot of football. I just enjoy the working ni with the numbers

[svac83]

And licking valley could win out unlikely they beat Granville that could happen and Zane trace could win out. And the blue devils could set at home at 8-2. They also could end up hosting with that record.

[Bozo]

Very weak region. Unioto and/or Zane Trace will make the playoffs if they go 7-3.

[svac83]

Very weak region. Unioto and/or Zane Trace will make the playoffs if they go 7-3.

I am not saying this region is strong. But I hate blanket uniformed statements. Last year in D4 all regions 9 teams finished 7-3 6 of those teams made the playoffs. And that is true year in year out over half the teams that finish 7-3 in d4 make the playoffs.

The SVC had a very good non conference anyone over .500 in that league will be a playoff contender in there region.

[Bozo]

Very good non conference? The SVC beat nobody but below average to terrible teams non league. Licking Valley and Philo may not make it and they would beat Zane Trace or Unioto by 50. I think Licking Valley did beat Unioto by about that much last year.

[svac83]

Very good non conference? The SVC beat nobody but below average to terrible teams non league. Licking Valley and Philo may not make it and they would beat Zane Trace or Unioto by 50. I think Licking Valley did beat Unioto by about that much last year.

Meaning very good non conference record. This happens in all regions. But if there are teams that won’t make the playoffs capable of beating teams that do make it by 50 sounds to me like a deep region.

Now I am not disagreeing with you. Someone or 2 people will host in this first round that has no business hosting. But that happens a lot. In a lot of regions. But this is the playoff system we have.

[Bozo]

True. Some average at best teams get in every year.

[outerbanksjake]

FYI ST C has a 6'7 320 lineman, and he is only a freshman.

[14U]

FYI ST C has a 6'7 320 lineman, and he is only a freshman.

That’s crazy big for a 15 year old kid!! Wow

[svac83]

Indian valley, unioto, philo, Zane trace, fairland, all lose tonight

[svac83]

nest week i should be able to do all the scenarios or a lot of them

[svac83]

week 10 minimums week 10 divisors
1. St. clairsville 15.65
2. bloom carroll 11.939
3. gallia academy 11.55
4. indian valley 10.427
5. licking valley 8.308
6. fairland 7.60
7. unioto 7.50
8. philo 5.60
new lexington 5.15
zane trace 4.93
john glenn 4.85


projections after week 10. i am sure there were be plenty of changes to this but i have my spread sheet ready to update weekly.

1. st clairsville 10-0 28.05
2. indian valley 9-1 19.858 if they would lose to garaway 15.569
3. bloom carroll 9-1 18.743
4. fairland 7-3 17.190 if they lose one of last 3 approximately 14.72
5. gallia academy 8-2 15.95 if they beat irinton 19.60
6. licking valley 7-3 14.51 with them beating licking heights if the y beat granville also 19.3
7. unioto 7-3 14.209
8. philo 7-3 13.10 if philo would lose to maysville or unioto loses again the 8th spot gets really ugly
john glenn 6-4 9.90


some big games in week 8
indian valley and garaway
fairland and portsmouth
unioto and westfall
philo and maysville
zane trace and adena

[EasternDspy]

Region 15

Bloom Carrol (6-1) @ Columbus Academy (3-4)

Indian Valley (6-1) @ Garaway (7-0)

Fairland (4-3) @ Portsmouth (4-3)

Unioto (4-3) @ Westfall (4-3)

New Lexington (5-2) @ Sheridan (6-1)

Tri Valley (7-0) @ John Glenn (4-3)

Philo (4-3) @ Maysville (4-3)

Zane Trace (3-4) @ Adena (5-1)

River View (4-3) @ Meadowbrook (4-3)

[carbon_dated]

Think Meadowbrook is in must-win mode rest of season. No one wants to face Garaway or Tri-Valley. Be good region final tho'

[svac83]

Region 15

Bloom Carrol (6-1) @ Columbus Academy (3-4)

Indian Valley (6-1) @ Garaway (7-0)

Fairland (4-3) @ Portsmouth (4-3)

Unioto (4-3) @ Westfall (4-3)

New Lexington (5-2) @ Sheridan (6-1)

Tri Valley (7-0) @ John Glenn (4-3)

Philo (4-3) @ Maysville (4-3)

Zane Trace (3-4) @ Adena (5-1)

River View (4-3) @ Meadowbrook (4-3)

River view, John Glenn, new Lexington, west fall. All need to upset some people to even sniff the playoffs

[mvlnewlex]

New Lex needs to either...upset Sheridan (unlikely)

or beat John Glenn and Philo to get in.