Region 11 Playoff Watch

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ironman02
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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by ironman02 »

I think it really comes down to Parkersburg South vs. Wheeling Park for Athens/DeSales. There are other games that could affect the outcome, but that is the KEY game at this point. If South loses, Athens could be in trouble. If South wins, then I think they'll be ahead of DeSales.

Both Athens and DeSales want to root for Chillicothe to beat Jackson.

Okay, I'm done now. I should have actually calculated out all the scenarios this week, but I just haven't had time.
Last edited by ironman02 on Thu Oct 25, 2018 10:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.


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93Bulldog
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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by 93Bulldog »

Doesn't Parkersburg South play Wheeling Park?


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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by ironman02 »

93Bulldog wrote: Thu Oct 25, 2018 10:53 pm Doesn't Parkersburg South play Wheeling Park?
Lol. Yes, I'll edit.


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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by 93Bulldog »

And Park is definitely favored. I'd be shocked if South wins


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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by ironman02 »

Just for speculation, this is my prediction. Obviously I'm gonna have Jackson win. lol

Jackson (7-3) - 20.7000
DeSales (6-4) - 18.7010
Athens (9-1) - 18.5404

I have DeSales getting no additional points (other than from Watterson). I have South losing to Wheeling Park, which hurts Athens a lot. I really think it's bleak for Athens unless they get South to win since I'm giving them credit for an RV win with that projection.

Ironman92 did just point out to me that Athens can be helped a lot by a Logan win over Waverly too. Wouldn't that be ironic? lol

I keep forgetting also that Bellfontaine could potentially factor into this if they win. They would need everything to go perfectly, but they would have shot.


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Raider6309
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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by Raider6309 »

That Dunbar game going from cancelled to foreit hurt. Need Terre South vs Terre North to go Athens way. Then South over Wheeling Park. I know WV forum has that as a shoot out. And RV over SG. Would have Athens just over 19 and DeSales 18.8


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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by Ironman92 »

Score watching will be fun tomorrow


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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by FANOSPORTS »

:lol: Let's just let DeSales & Athens have a wildcard play-in game. I can guarantee you who would win that one. :lol:


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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by Raider6309 »

Ironman92 wrote: Thu Oct 25, 2018 11:27 pm Score watching will be fun tomorrow
I know. Be funny if Athens and DeSales are decided by 0-9 River Valley vs D7 South Gallia. If South or Logan win and Terre North losses. It will come down to Saturday night in Bidwell


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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by Raider6309 »

Desales is basically set at 18.65
With a Terre North win its 19.3

Athens lowest possible 18.13

River Valley over South Gallia (+.35)
18.489

Parkersburg South over Wheeling Park (+.61)
19.095

Logan over Waverly (+.51)
19.6

Basically Athens probably needs South over Wheeling Park and Terre North to lose


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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by BlueLion4Life »

I won't be able to attend any games tonight. But I will be at home listening to the Jackson/Chillicothe game tonight on the radio.

I will be posting scores for other games of high interest to Region 11 in this thread. If there is a game you want me to post the scores too.... let me know. and I will do my best to get it.


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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by BlueLion4Life »

Raider6309 wrote: Fri Oct 26, 2018 12:37 am Desales is basically set at 18.65
With a Terre North win its 19.3

Athens lowest possible 18.13

River Valley over South Gallia (+.35)
18.489

Parkersburg South over Wheeling Park (+.61)
19.095

Logan over Waverly (+.51)
19.6

Basically Athens probably needs South over Wheeling Park and Terre North to lose
and they definitely need logan to win......which isn't likely.


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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by 93Bulldog »

Athens does not need Logan to win.

I don't see Terre North winning. My guess is DeSales 18.65

Athens just needs Parlersburg South and or Logan to win.


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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by loganlocos »

93Bulldog wrote: Fri Oct 26, 2018 9:20 am Athens does not need Logan to win.

I don't see Terre North winning. My guess is DeSales 18.65

Athens just needs Parlersburg South and or Logan to win.
Go Chiefs!


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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by 93Bulldog »

I want Logan to win.
But I refuse to cheer for them.
;)


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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by BlueLion4Life »

Hole on a sec. If you run the math. South can win and help. but if neither Logan or River Valley win you will come in under DeSales even without a Terre Haut North win.

If Athens beats NY they get quite a bit of L2 points from them. so the L2's would look like this without Logan/ RV winning.

L2: 137= 13.83 points. L1: 3.6

13.83+4.55= 18.388

DeSales:
Without Terre Haut north winning

L2: 149.5= 15.10 PTS L1: 3.6PTS

15.10+3.6= 18.70

So in theory, you need RV to win with either Logan or South winning as well. Athens is no means a lock if South wins.
Last edited by BlueLion4Life on Fri Oct 26, 2018 11:24 am, edited 1 time in total.


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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by 93Bulldog »

Agreed.

Athens needs two of the three.


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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by BlueLion4Life »

93Bulldog wrote: Fri Oct 26, 2018 11:24 am Agreed.

Athens needs two of the three.
That's a lot of stock in 2 of those 3 teams.


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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by ShoeHorn »

BlueLion4Life wrote: Fri Oct 26, 2018 11:27 am
93Bulldog wrote: Fri Oct 26, 2018 11:24 am Agreed.

Athens needs two of the three.
That's a lot of stock in 2 of those 3 teams.
Hopefully Chillicothe is a winner and then these secondary games would just be gravy. But Athens has to take care of their part.
Last edited by ShoeHorn on Fri Oct 26, 2018 11:41 am, edited 1 time in total.


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Re: Region 11 Playoff Watch

Post by BlueLion4Life »

ShoeHorn wrote: Fri Oct 26, 2018 11:32 am
BlueLion4Life wrote: Fri Oct 26, 2018 11:27 am
93Bulldog wrote: Fri Oct 26, 2018 11:24 am Agreed.

Athens needs two of the three.
That's a lot of stock in 2 of those 3 teams.
Hopefully Chillicothe is a winner and then these secondary games would just be gravy.
Hey, that's entirely possible. Jackson will bring their A game you can bet that though. And I'm sure Chillicothe will to.


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