DV R19

[muskiefan11]

Post-Week 7 Fantastic 50 Playoff Predictions

In-9
Ironton (6-1), Harvest Prep (5-1), Fairland (6-1), Barnesville (7-0), West Muskingum (6-1), Columbus Academy (7-0), Portsmouth West (6-1), Heath (5-2), Africentric (5-2)

12 Contenders for 7 Spots
Wheelersburg 97% (3-3) need 4-5
Utica 92% (5-2) need 6-4
Worthington Christian 91% (3-4) need 4-6
South Point 88% (4-3) need 5-5
New Lexington 88% (3-4) need 5-5
Union Local 73% (5-2) bubble if 5-5
Centerburg 65% (4-3) need 5-5
Portsmouth 56% (4-3) need 5-5
Minford 28% (3-3) bubble if 5-4
Piketon 14% (4-3) bubble if 7-3
Chesapeake 8% (3-4) bubble if 5-5
Meadowbrook 2% (4-3) need 6-4

Seeding with remaining game predictions
1. Ironton (9-1) Wins over Dawson-Bryant, Gallia Academy, Portsmouth
2. Harvest Prep (8-1) Wins over Akron SVSM, Licking Heights, KIPP
3. Fairland (9-1) Wins over Portsmouth, Dawson-Bryant, Chesapeake
4. Barnesville (10-0) Wins over Monroe Central, Shenandoah, Union Local
5. West Muskingum (9-1) Wins over Morgan, Coshocton, Meadowbrook
6. Columbus Academy (9-1) Wins over Worthington Christian, Buckeye Valley, Bishop Ready
7. Wheelersburg (6-3) Wins over Waverly, Minford, Portsmouth West
8. Portsmouth West (8-2) Wins over Northwest, Oak Hill Loss to Wheelersburg
9. Heath (8-2) Wins over Northridge, Newark Catholic, Johnstown
10. Africentric (7-3) Wins over Independence, Columbus South Loss to Eastmoor Academy
11. Worthington Christian (5-5) Wins over Grove City Christian, Bexley Loss to Columbus Academy
12. Utica (7-3) Wins over Northridge, Lakewood Loss to Johnstown
13. South Point (5-5) Win over Chesapeake Losses to Portsmouth, Gallia Academy
14. New Lexington (5-5) Wins over Meadowbrook, Crooksville Loss to Sheridan
15. Centerburg (5-5) Win over Fredericktown Losses to Danville, Northmor
16. Portsmouth (5-5) Win over South Point Losses to Fairland, Ironton
Out
Union Local (5-5) Losses to St. Clairsville, Bellaire, Barnesville
Piketon (7-3) Wins over Southeastern, Adena, Westfall
Minford (4-5) Win over Valley Losses to Logan, Wheelersburg
Chesapeake (4-6) Losses to South Point, Rock Hill, Fairland
Meadowbrook (4-6) Losses to New Lexington, Morgan, West Muskingum

[a-trainsalomone]

Chesapeake defeats Rock Hill, but losses to Fairland and South Point.

South Point beats Chesapeake and Portsmouth, but falls to Gallia Academy.

Portsmouth losses to Fairland, South Point, and Ironton.

[osu 77]

I am not for 16 teams making the playoffs.

[wobycat]

Not playing oak hill helped burg in points, FWIW

[fbnut]

Not playing oak hill helped burg in points, FWIW

Which is exactly why they didn’t want to risk a loss to pikeville

[muskiefan11]

I am not for 16 teams making the playoffs.

Agreed, I think looking at the records 12 teams would have been the perfect fit. Would’ve required about 6+ wins to make it in depending on the region. But in the times of participation trophies it’ll stay 16 for now and probably will eventually end up like other sports where everyone makes the playoffs.

[Bluroon]

I'm going with UL to sneak in with a close W over Bellaire.

[muskiefan11]

Post-Week 8 Fantastic 50 Playoff Predictions

In-11
Ironton (7-1), Harvest Prep (6-1), Fairland (7-1), Barnesville (8-0), West Muskingum (7-1), Columbus Academy (8-0), Portsmouth West (7-1), Heath (6-2), Africentric (5-3), Wheelersburg (4-3), South Point (5-3)

8 Contenders for 5 Spots
New Lexington 98% (4-4) bubble if 4-6
Worthington Christian 92% (3-5) need 4-6
Utica 91% (5-3) need 6-4
Minford 61% (4-3) bubble if 5-4
Centerburg 55% (4-4) need 5-5
Union Local 49% (5-3) bubble if 5-5
Portsmouth 47% (4-4) need 5-5
Piketon 6% (5-3) bubble if 7-3

Longshots
Chesapeake, Meadowbrook

Eliminated
Wellston, Northwest, Amanda Clearcreek, Meigs, Liberty Union, Alexander, River Valley

Seeding with remaining game predictions
1. Ironton (9-1) Wins over Gallia Academy, Portsmouth
2. Harvest Prep (8-1) Wins over Licking Heights, KIPP
3. Fairland (9-1) Wins over Dawson-Bryant, Chesapeake
4. Barnesville (10-0) Wins over Shenandoah, Union Local
5. West Muskingum (9-1) Wins over Coshocton, Meadowbrook
6. Columbus Academy (9-1) Wins over Buckeye Valley, Bishop Ready
7. Wheelersburg (6-3) Wins over Minford, Portsmouth West
8. Heath (8-2) Wins over Newark Catholic, Johnstown
9. Portsmouth West (8-2) Win over Oak Hill Loss to Wheelersburg
10. Africentric (6-4) Win over Columbus South Loss to Eastmoor Academy
11. South Point (6-4) Loss to Portsmouth, Gallia Academy
12. Worthington Christian (5-5) Wins over Grove City Christian, Bexley
13. Utica (7-3) Wins over Northridge, Lakewood
14. New Lexington (5-5) Win over Crooksville Loss to Sheridan
15. Portsmouth (5-5) Win over South Point, Loss to Ironton
16. Centerburg (5-5) Win over Fredericktown, Loss to Northmor
Out
Minford (5-4) Win over Valley Loss to Wheelersburg
Union Local (5-5) Losses to Bellaire, Barnesville
Piketon (7-3) Wins over Adena, Westfall
Chesapeake (4-6) Win over Rock Hill Loss to Fairland
Meadowbrook (4-6) Loss to Morgan, West Muskingum

[art_vandelay]

I am not for 16 teams making the playoffs.

Agreed, I think looking at the records 12 teams would have been the perfect fit. Would’ve required about 6+ wins to make it in depending on the region. But in the times of participation trophies it’ll stay 16 for now and probably will eventually end up like other sports where everyone makes the playoffs.

Yep...12 teams per Region is the best way to go. Rewards top 4 seeds with a bye week to get healthy, and makes 5-6 wins needed in most regions to make playoffs. Doubtful OHSAA ever goes this route though.*

[muskiefan11]

Changes from Week 7

Clinched Playoffs-Wheelersburg, South Point
Eliminated-Wellston, Northwest, Amanda Clearcreek, Meigs, Liberty Union, Alexander, River Valley

South Point +2 Seeds
Portsmouth West, Portsmouth +1 Seed
Heath, Worthington Christian, Utica, Centerburg -1 Seed

[Bfan99]

Likely 2nd round playoff games…
#7 Burg @ #2 Harvest Prep
#9 Pwest @ #1 Ironton
Exciting matchups.

[gobucs20]

Irontons region to lose .

[tigercat74]

I am not for 16 teams making the playoffs.

Agreed, I think looking at the records 12 teams would have been the perfect fit. Would’ve required about 6+ wins to make it in depending on the region. But in the times of participation trophies it’ll stay 16 for now and probably will eventually end up like other sports where everyone makes the playoffs.

Yep...12 teams per Region is the best way to go. Rewards top 4 seeds with a bye week to get healthy, and makes 5-6 wins needed in most regions to make playoffs. Doubtful OHSAA ever goes this route though.*

I remember when it was four teams per region. Meant something to make the playoffs. Now get these kids off my lawn.

[muskiefan11]

According to Fantastic 50 Twitter, according to projected playoff points cutoffs, this region is the 4th toughest to earn a playoff berth (9.70) in the state.

[SWHITE2002]

Not playing oak hill helped burg in points, FWIW

Which is exactly why they didn’t want to risk a loss to pikeville

From what I was told this is true and some of the natives aren’t happy about it

Fairly sad that Burg Football has fell to the point that they are dodging teams of equal size and manipulating the schedule for playoff seeding and to keep the consecutive non-loosing season streak alive

[wobycat]

Not playing oak hill helped burg in points, FWIW

Which is exactly why they didn’t want to risk a loss to pikeville

From what I was told this is true and some of the natives aren’t happy about it

Fairly sad that Burg Football has fell to the point that they are dodging teams of equal size and manipulating the schedule for playoff seeding and to keep the consecutive non-loosing season streak alive

Lol. They would have made it at 5-5 with the loss if they would have lost. Raceland beat Pikeville and Burg handled Raceland in the scrimmage, so they probably would have won the game, Now, they may have not played them for seeding purposes, which makes sense, why take the risk of playing a meaningless game if the risk is greater than the reward. Risk injury or seeding plus Burg wasn't informed until Wednesday about Oak Hill canceling, Burg prepares each week for the opponent they are playing, not an assumption game.

[SWHITE2002]

[quote=SWHITE2002 post_id=2082527 time=<a href="tel:1697127628">1697127628</a> user_id=17234]
[quote=fbnut post_id=2080820 time=<a href="tel:1696260466">1696260466</a> user_id=329]
[quote=wobycat post_id=2080801 time=<a href="tel:1696255034">1696255034</a> user_id=123]
Not playing oak hill helped burg in points, FWIW

Which is exactly why they didn’t want to risk a loss to pikeville
[/quote]

From what I was told this is true and some of the natives aren’t happy about it

Fairly sad that Burg Football has fell to the point that they are dodging teams of equal size and manipulating the schedule for playoff seeding and to keep the consecutive non-loosing season streak alive
[/quote]

Lol. They would have made it at 5-5 with the loss if they would have lost. Raceland beat Pikeville and Burg handled Raceland in the scrimmage, so they probably would have won the game, Now, they may have not played them for seeding purposes, which makes sense, why take the risk of playing a meaningless game if the risk is greater than the reward. Risk injury or seeding plus Burg wasn't informed until Wednesday about Oak Hill canceling, Burg prepares each week for the opponent they are playing, not an assumption game.
[/quote]

You’re contradicting yourself

Wheelersburg posters brung it up

[wobycat]

[quote=SWHITE2002 post_id=2082527 time=<a href="tel:1697127628">1697127628</a> user_id=17234]
[quote=fbnut post_id=2080820 time=<a href="tel:1696260466">1696260466</a> user_id=329]
[quote=wobycat post_id=2080801 time=<a href="tel:1696255034">1696255034</a> user_id=123]
Not playing oak hill helped burg in points, FWIW

Which is exactly why they didn’t want to risk a loss to pikeville

From what I was told this is true and some of the natives aren’t happy about it

Fairly sad that Burg Football has fell to the point that they are dodging teams of equal size and manipulating the schedule for playoff seeding and to keep the consecutive non-loosing season streak alive
[/quote]

Lol. They would have made it at 5-5 with the loss if they would have lost. Raceland beat Pikeville and Burg handled Raceland in the scrimmage, so they probably would have won the game, Now, they may have not played them for seeding purposes, which makes sense, why take the risk of playing a meaningless game if the risk is greater than the reward. Risk injury or seeding plus Burg wasn't informed until Wednesday about Oak Hill canceling, Burg prepares each week for the opponent they are playing, not an assumption game.
[/quote]

You’re contradicting yourself

Wheelersburg posters brung it up
[/quote]

Huh?

[art_vandelay]

Not playing oak hill helped burg in points, FWIW

Which is exactly why they didn’t want to risk a loss to pikeville

From what I was told this is true and some of the natives aren’t happy about it

Fairly sad that Burg Football has fell to the point that they are dodging teams of equal size and manipulating the schedule for playoff seeding and to keep the consecutive non-loosing season streak alive

"Some of the natives" don't understand that not playing Oak Hill was a gift for Burg. If you believe Drew Pasteur's site, it was the difference between Burg going on the road in first round of playoffs and now likely getting a home game. Probably also saved Burg from going back to Ironton in Round 2 of playoffs (instead of at a neutral site later) when looking at how the Region shaking out. While you can question the optics of turning down a replacement game with Pikeville, it was the right call for Burg.*

[SWHITE2002]

Which is exactly why they didn’t want to risk a loss to pikeville

From what I was told this is true and some of the natives aren’t happy about it

Fairly sad that Burg Football has fell to the point that they are dodging teams of equal size and manipulating the schedule for playoff seeding and to keep the consecutive non-loosing season streak alive

"Some of the natives" don't understand that not playing Oak Hill was a gift for Burg. If you believe Drew Pasteur's site, it was the difference between Burg going on the road in first round of playoffs and now likely getting a home game. Probably also saved Burg from going back to Ironton in Round 2 of playoffs (instead of at a neutral site later) when looking at how the Region shaking out. While you can question the optics of turning down a replacement game with Pikeville, it was the right call for Burg.*

Is loosing at Harvest Prep any better than loosing at Ironton?