Region 21

[Crab's Brother]

[quote="MCdude"]what would have to happen in order for Monroe Central to be seeded at #5 or higher? I saw early in the thread Monroe Central was projected a #4 seed.. What are the chances of that still happening? Monroe will more than likely win out and finish at 8-2.[/quote


I think MC is in a very good spot. They are of course rooting against Grandview Heights. They could also use any and all help they can get from Magnolia.

[selonmc]

what would have to happen in order for Monroe Central to be seeded at #5 or higher? I saw early in the thread Monroe Central was projected a #4 seed.. What are the chances of that still happening? Monroe will more than likely win out and finish at 8-2.

The things for MC hosting are:

Union Local going 1-2 over the next 3 weeks (best bet is them beating Bellaire)
Buckeye Trail beating West Muskingum
Magnolia going 3-0 (which includes St. Mary's WV in which they are a large underdog)
Frontier beating Valley WV (they should but its not a slam dunk)

Union Local is our only team that can make up for the others. So if Trail loses to West Musky then we'd need Union Local to make it up by going 2-1; but UL plays Shadyside and St. C (combined 14-0)

If the above 4 conditions happen then that would at least get us a final point total that should put us in the 4th / 5th seed range (but nothing is guaranteed). If none of the above happens then MC will have a point total consistent with what the 8th seed will have, and any combination in between will put us anywhere in between.

Of course then there is what the other teams in Region 21 do in their games which could render all or part of the above moot.

[getright]

Any chance Grandview loses tonight?

[getright]

And Union Local gave a tough Martins Ferry team a scare in week 6, if they play like that they could compete with Shadyside and St. Clairsville IMO. It would take heck of a game on Union Locals part.

[Crab's Brother]

Any chance Grandview loses tonight?

I think they do. It seems like West Jeff has gotten it together and are playing better.

[icanpickem]

Grandview Heights 7
West Jeff 2

Final

[Agentsmith]

Final already?

[MightyOaksFan]

Oak Hills spot up for grabs now. Got beat at Symmes Valley in OT

[fuzzhead]

Oak Hills spot up for grabs now. Got beat at Symmes Valley in OT

Oak Hill would likely have to lose next week to miss the playoffs, but the stay will be a short one with a long ride to and from F-town possibly looming. Bad, bad loss tonight.

[INDIAN58]

IMO more and more this region looks up for grabs 1-8, just a matter of which team peaks at the right time. Sure Fredericktown will win out and be the 1 or 2 but after watching them last week, not convinced they will make it out of the region.

[CN2]

Week 11 prediction after week 8:
#8 Oak Hill @ #1 Valley
#7 Ridgewood @ #2 Fredricktown
#6 Nelsonville-York @ #3 Grandview Hts.
#5 Monroe Central @ #4 Centerburg

[hammer89]

The only way Valley jumps Fredericktown is if they beat Burg. Grandview got a big win last night and should win their last two to finish 8-2. Not sure if an 8-2 Grandview would be enough to jump Valley for the #2 spot if the Indians lose to Burg. Going to be a close one for the #4 through #8 spots. Don"t think MC has enough points left to jump up to #5. I would put them around #6 or #7. With the Oaks loss last night that may open the door for someone else.

[getright]

Bellaire pulls off the huge upset on Bishop Ready! last I heard it was 30-0..

[kvnchambers]

this is not a deep projection by me as i did not really study all the secondary points closely i am sure crabs brother will do this but i came out with numbers after week 10 looking something like this. a few of these very close
1.fredericktown 21.7
2. grandview heights 19.9
3. nelsonville york 19.65
4. valley 19.45
5. ridgewood 16.4
6. centerburg 15.9
7. monroe central 14.6
8. bishop ready 14.41
9.belpre 14.4
10.oak hill 13.7
11.coal grove 13.55
i need to go back and check my math but it is what i project for now

[coop]

I thought ready was out....especially after getting crushed last night by a bad bellaire team...and do you have Nelsonville beating Athens???

[Crab's Brother]

this is not a deep projection by me as i did not really study all the secondary points closely i am sure crabs brother will do this but i came out with numbers after week 10 looking something like this. a few of these very close
1.fredericktown 21.7
2. grandview heights 19.9
3. nelsonville york 19.65
4. valley 19.45
5. ridgewood 16.4
6. centerburg 15.9
7. monroe central 14.6
8. bishop ready 14.41
9.belpre 14.4
10.oak hill 13.7
11.coal grove 13.55
i need to go back and check my math but it is what i project for now

I would love to see the math on that...Nelsonville isn't getting anywhere near that number unless they beat Athens....Not happening....

Ready's number with the loss today will not be anywhere near that figure.

Nothing personal, but I think you made some serious mistakes.

[nutronron2012]

this is not a deep projection by me as i did not really study all the secondary points closely i am sure crabs brother will do this but i came out with numbers after week 10 looking something like this. a few of these very close
1.fredericktown 21.7
2. grandview heights 19.9
3. nelsonville york 19.65
4. valley 19.45
5. ridgewood 16.4
6. centerburg 15.9
7. monroe central 14.6
8. bishop ready 14.41
9.belpre 14.4
10.oak hill 13.7
11.coal grove 13.55
i need to go back and check my math but it is what i project for now

I think it will be more like this
Region 21 Projections
1) Fredericktown (10-0) 21.85
2) Valley (Lucasville) (8-2) 19.40
3) Grandview Heights (Columbus) (8-2) 18.60
4) Centerburg (8-2) 15.55
5) Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) (7-3) 15.20
6) Ridgewood (West Lafayette) (9-1) 14.90
7) Monroe Central (Woodsfield) (8-2) 14.83
8) Belpre (8-2) 13.51

[Eaglepapaw]

this is not a deep projection by me as i did not really study all the secondary points closely i am sure crabs brother will do this but i came out with numbers after week 10 looking something like this. a few of these very close
1.fredericktown 21.7
2. grandview heights 19.9
3. nelsonville york 19.65
4. valley 19.45
5. ridgewood 16.4
6. centerburg 15.9
7. monroe central 14.6
8. bishop ready 14.41
9.belpre 14.4
10.oak hill 13.7
11.coal grove 13.55
i need to go back and check my math but it is what i project for now

I think it will be more like this
Region 21 Projections
1) Fredericktown (10-0) 21.85
2) Valley (Lucasville) (8-2) 19.40
3) Grandview Heights (Columbus) (8-2) 18.60
4) Centerburg (8-2) 15.55
5) Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) (7-3) 15.20
6) Ridgewood (West Lafayette) (9-1) 14.90
7) Monroe Central (Woodsfield) (8-2) 14.83
8) Belpre (8-2) 13.51

I like that one hope your right nutronron

[getright]

Region 21 Projections:
1 Fredricktown
2.Lucasville Valley
3. Centerburg
4. Monroe Central
5. Grandview Heights
6. Ridgewood
7. Nelsonville York
8. Oak Hill

9.Belpre
10.Bishop Ready

[Crab's Brother]

Since Joe is running a little behind this week I ran the what the numbers should look like at the end of week 8:

1. Fredericktown 14.44
2. Valley 13.35
3. Nelsonville 12.21
4. Grandview 11.92
5. Centerburg 11.10
6. Ridgewood 10.36
7. Ready 8.82
8. Monroe Central 8.78

9. Oak Hill 8.71 or 8.36 If Green beats ND
10. Coal Grove 8.675
11. Belpre 8.61 or 8.55