Region 21

[nutronron2012]

Per Drew Pasteur
Region 21
Fredericktown (9-0, D6 R21) - Clinched home game, seed #3 or better
Valley (Lucasville) (7-2, D6 R21) - Clinched home game, seed #4 or better
Grandview Heights (Columbus) (7-2, D6 R21) - Clinched playoff berth, seed #5 or better, controls own destiny for a home game
Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) (7-2, D6 R21) - Controls own destiny for a playoff berth and for a home game
Ridgewood (West Lafayette) (8-1, D6 R21) - Controls own destiny for a playoff berth
Centerburg (7-2, D6 R21) - Controls own destiny for a playoff berth
Monroe Central (Woodsfield) (7-2, D6 R21) - Needs a little help for a playoff berth
Columbus Academy (Gahanna) (4-4, D6 R21) - Needs a little help for a playoff berth
Bishop Ready (Columbus) (5-3, D6 R21) - Needs a little help for a playoff berth
Belpre (7-2, D6 R21) - Needs help for a playoff berth
Oak Hill (6-3, D6 R21) - Needs help for a playoff berth
Bellaire (3-5, D6 R21) - Needs a lot of help for a playoff berth
Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) (6-3, D6 R21) - Needs a lot of help for a playoff berth
Fort Frye (Beverly) (6-3, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Northmor (Galion) (5-4, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Crooksville (4-5, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Cardington-Lincoln (Cardington) (4-5, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Newark Catholic (Newark) (4-5, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Huntington (Chillicothe) (3-6, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Buckeye Trail (Lore City) (3-6, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Barnesville (2-7, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Federal Hocking (Stewart) (2-7, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
River (Hannibal) (2-7, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
East Knox (Howard) (1-8, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Shenandoah (Sarahsville) (1-8, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Berne Union (Sugar Grove) (1-8, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention

[getright]

UL leads Bellaire 21-14 with under 5 left in the 4th Q. Union Local ball.

[getright]

Union Local hangs on to win 21-14 and defeats Bellaire. This certainly helps Monroe Central out a lot!

[indianabuck]

It looks like the Northwest vs River Valley game will most likely decide if Oak Hill or Belpre gets the 8 sees unless there is a major upset with Academy or Ready happens.

[hammer89]

It could also decide whether Nelsonville York or Ridgewood is the #6 seed. I think MC has a good hold on the #5 spot with Union Locals win yesterday.

[getright]

Love the sound of Monroe Central vs. Centerburg again!!

[Eaglepapaw]

Best projections I've seen on the region

New projections for DVI, Region 21 - has both TVC teams in.
Region 21 Projections
1) Fredericktown (10-0) 22.15
2) Valley (Lucasville) (8-2) 20.35
3) Grandview Heights (Columbus) (8-2) 19.46
4) Centerburg (8-2) 15.50
5) Monroe Central (Woodsfield) (8-2) 15.29
6) Ridgewood (West Lafayette) (9-1) 14.85
7) Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) (7-3) 14.70
8) Belpre (8-2) 13.10

[Orange and Brown]

Best projections I've seen on the region

New projections for DVI, Region 21 - has both TVC teams in.
Region 21 Projections
1) Fredericktown (10-0) 22.15
2) Valley (Lucasville) (8-2) 20.35
3) Grandview Heights (Columbus) (8-2) 19.46
4) Centerburg (8-2) 15.50
5) Monroe Central (Woodsfield) (8-2) 15.29
6) Ridgewood (West Lafayette) (9-1) 14.85
7) Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) (7-3) 14.70
8) Belpre (8-2) 13.10

Yea Drew Pasteaur has Belpre getting in. I sure hope they do.

[hammer89]

I can't figure out where Drew is getting his average for NY. I have them at either 14.85 or 14.90 depending on how their 2nd level points shake out from their defeated league opponents and if River Valley beats Northwest. It is possible that Ridgewood and NY both finish tied for the 6th spot at 14.85. Then it would go to third level points according to the OHSAA tiebreaker rules.

[INDIAN58]

Love the sound of Monroe Central vs. Centerburg again!!

Agree. Very interested in seeing this rematch happen. Im curious to see how Centerburg responds to last years loss.

[Crab's Brother]

Ok Here is my list of "predictions" for defeated opponents and how I got to my numbers:

Fredricktown wins:

Danville
Centerburg
Highland
Northmor

Grandview:

Centennial
West Jeff

Valley:

Portsmouth
Coal Grove
Piketon
Fleming County
Waverly
South Point

Centerburg:

Lucas
Northmor
Highland

Nelsonville:

NC
River Valley
Meigs
Wellston

Monroe Central:

Fort Frye
Magnolia
Frontier

Ridgewood:

TCC
Sandy Valley

Belpre:

Fort Frye
South Gallia
Park Catholic
Eastern

Oak Hill:

Wellston
East

Coal Grove:

Meigs
Waverly
South Point

[Crab's Brother]

A few "toss ups" that we have looked at that could change things:


If Northwest beats River Valley:

Move Oak Hill to 13.46 and NY to 14.45. That would move Ridgewood to #6 and probably go to Grandview and bump NY down to #7 and bring them to Lucasville

If Chesapeake beats Waverly:

Those two wins should be enough for Oak Hill to catch Belpre for #8 as I would project Oak hill to 13.91.

[MightyOaksFan]

A few "toss ups" that we have looked at that could change things:


If Northwest beats River Valley:

Move Oak Hill to 13.46 and NY to 14.45. That would move Ridgewood to #6 and probably go to Grandview and bump NY down to #7 and bring them to Lucasville

If Chesapeake beats Waverly:

Those two wins should be enough for Oak Hill to catch Belpre for #8 as I would project Oak hill to 13.91.

Is that with or without a Wellston win vs. Vinton County?

[Crab's Brother]

I have Oak hill getting wins from Wellston and East in week 10.

[INDIAN58]

excited by the prospect of a Centerburg vs Monroe Central week 11 rematch. Good luck this week noles lets do it again. :aaaaa11

[PVC MAN]

excited by the prospect of a Centerburg vs Monroe Central week 11 rematch. Good luck this week noles lets do it again. :aaaaa11

Sounds like a lot fun again

[fuzzhead]

Coal Grove needs a miracle.

[indianabuck]

I've got a feeling there are going to be a couple major upsets this week. I think Academy is beating Bexley. I also think Ready is going to play Hartley closer than people think. Weather may help Ready also. Oak Hill, Belpre and Nelsonville-York better pray these don't happen, or they will all be out.

[2trap_4ever]

Coal Grove needs a miracle.

Tomorrow is Halloween, strange things can happen on that night.

[m_bowens]

Ready got beat by 3-6 Bellaire 30-0. I've seen Bellaire play multiple times, there is a .0000000000000001 chance that they beat Hartley. Its going to be whatever Hartley wants it to be.