Region 19 2022

muskiefan11
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Region 19 2022

Post by muskiefan11 »

Week 10 Playoff Outlook
In (12):
Ironton, Harvest Prep, Barnesville, Centerburg, Portsmouth West, Wheelersburg, Union Local, Portsmouth, Fairland, West M, Northwest, Heath

Post Week 10 Points Scenarios (Eitel Win/Loss Min and Max, Scenario included if 30%+ chance of a win or loss)
33.4879 Ironton win vs Portsmouth 96%
29.8917 HP win vs Buckeye Valley 99%
23.5449 Barnesville win vs UL 55%
21.4500 Centerburg win vs Fredericktown 71%
21.2242 Wheelersburg win vs P West 80%
20.8222 Barnesville loss vs UL 45%
19.6292 UL win vs Barnesville 45%
18.5500 P West loss vs Wheelersburg 80%
16.0000 Fairland win vs Chesapeake 99%
15.0843 UL loss vs Barnesville 55%
14.8969 Portsmouth loss vs Ironton 96%
14.4556 WM win vs Meadowbrook 94%
12.5495 NW win vs Symmes Valley 97%
12.5392 Heath win vs Johnstown 68%
10.5959 Heath loss vs Johnstown 32%

Contenders (4 spots remaining, still a lot of possible outcomes that could shake things up)
11.0000 Piketon win vs Huntington 66%
10.3000 Minford win vs Valley 72%
10.1000 South Point win vs Gallia 7%
10.0722 Meigs win vs Alexander 66%
9.9727 Alexander win vs Meigs 34%
9.8084 Cols. Acad. win vs Whitehall 57%
8.6500 Minford loss vs Valley 28%
8.5000 Piketon loss vs Huntington 34%
7.4102 Utica win vs Lakewood 84%
7.3495 Meigs loss vs Alexander 34%
7.0985 Alexander loss vs Meigs 66%
7.0134 Cols. Acad. loss vs Whitehall 43%
6.3520 Chesapeake win vs Fairland 1%


mustard
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Re: DV-Region 19

Post by mustard »

My dark horse to the region final is fairland. They have changed their offense to a ground control and it’s very effective.

The winner of 19 is prep. Loaded. Probably will win state.


muskiefan11
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Re: DV-Region 19

Post by muskiefan11 »

Biggest/Best games this week:
Union Local @ Barnesville 55%
Heath 68% @ Johnstown
Meigs 66% @ Alexander
Cols. Academy 57% @ Whitehall


greygoose
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Re: DV-Region 19

Post by greygoose »

mustard wrote: Mon Oct 17, 2022 12:47 pm My dark horse to the region final is fairland. They have changed their offense to a ground control and it’s very effective.

The winner of 19 is prep. Loaded. Probably will win state.
That's not a dark horse pick with Fairland that's like one heck of a LONGGGG shot. I don't think Fairland would have a shot at any of the top 6 currently ranked.


mustard
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Re: DV-Region 19

Post by mustard »

greygoose wrote: Mon Oct 17, 2022 12:57 pm
mustard wrote: Mon Oct 17, 2022 12:47 pm My dark horse to the region final is fairland. They have changed their offense to a ground control and it’s very effective.

The winner of 19 is prep. Loaded. Probably will win state.
That's not a dark horse pick with Fairland that's like one heck of a LONGGGG shot. I don't think Fairland would have a shot at any of the top 6 currently ranked.
Heard it here first.


Beergogglebluez
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Re: DV-Region 19

Post by Beergogglebluez »

Of course I want a southern Ohio team but I think harvest prep will take region 19


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greygoose
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Re: DV-Region 19

Post by greygoose »

mustard wrote: Mon Oct 17, 2022 1:35 pm
greygoose wrote: Mon Oct 17, 2022 12:57 pm
mustard wrote: Mon Oct 17, 2022 12:47 pm My dark horse to the region final is fairland. They have changed their offense to a ground control and it’s very effective.

The winner of 19 is prep. Loaded. Probably will win state.
That's not a dark horse pick with Fairland that's like one heck of a LONGGGG shot. I don't think Fairland would have a shot at any of the top 6 currently ranked.
Heard it here first.
Not sure they even make it out of round 1, for sure round 2 exit


wobycat
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Re: DV-Region 19

Post by wobycat »

Yeah I think burg ironton or prep are the best bets. I like burg at this time


TigerBob
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Re: DV-Region 19

Post by TigerBob »

Give me Harvest Prep. You can have the field


RRX.2020
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Re: DV-Region 19

Post by RRX.2020 »

should be Ironton and Prep for championship


RShifko
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Re: DV-Region 19

Post by RShifko »

Will they reseed for the second round?


wobycat
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Re: DV-Region 19

Post by wobycat »

RShifko wrote: Thu Oct 20, 2022 4:25 pm Will they reseed for the second round?
No. Home games in second round may change if upsets happen in first round. Highest seed hosts. Other than that it’s classic playoff


muskiefan11
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Re: DV-Region 19

Post by muskiefan11 »

Unofficial Matchups According to Eitel

16 Minford @ 1 Ironton
15 Meigs @ 2 Harvest Prep
14 Piketon @ 3 Barnesville
13 Columbus Academy @ 4 Centerburg
12 Northwest @ 5 Portsmouth West
11 Heath @ 6 Wheelersburg
10 West Muskingum @ 7 Fairland
9 Portsmouth @ 8 Union Local


Beergogglebluez
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Re: DV-Region 19

Post by Beergogglebluez »

Don’t see any upsets in this round.. Heath and burg might be a good game and 8 and 9 is usually a toss up.


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522Pirate
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Re: DV-Region 19

Post by 522Pirate »

Columbus Academy @ Centerburg might be a good one…CA usually has a really good athlete or two and Centerburg didn’t look all that good the game I watched on YouTube…plus they lost to Utica the first game of the season.


TigerBob
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Re: DV-Region 19

Post by TigerBob »

I see 5 laughers (Ironton, Prep, Barnesville, West, Fairland) with Wheelersburg cruising to a win. Other two games will be tough. Home teams favored, but could go either way.


muskiefan11
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Re: DV-Region 19

Post by muskiefan11 »

Definitely Harvest Prep and Ironton’s Region to lose, but West and Burg are definitely contenders who could throw a wrench into things.


yabbadabbadoo
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Re: DV-Region 19

Post by yabbadabbadoo »

muskiefan11 wrote: Sat Oct 22, 2022 8:12 pm Definitely Harvest Prep and Ironton’s Region to lose, but West and Burg are definitely contenders who could throw a wrench into things.


West will have to get by Ironton and Burg past HP to set up a rematch. West has the team to play with Ironton if they can stop Carpenter because I think they can control Ironton’s run game.

Not sure Burg can play with HP but that’s why they play the games.


ROCH HILL PRIDE!
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Re: DV-Region 19

Post by ROCH HILL PRIDE! »

wobycat wrote: Mon Oct 17, 2022 8:33 pm Yeah I think burg ironton or prep are the best bets. I like burg at this time

How about now ?


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hbk1999
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Re: DV-Region 19

Post by hbk1999 »

TigerBob wrote: Sat Oct 22, 2022 11:03 am I see 5 laughers (Ironton, Prep, Barnesville, West, Fairland) with Wheelersburg cruising to a win. Other two games will be tough. Home teams favored, but could go either way.
Don’t sleep on Piketon. Looks like Barnesville played a bunch of bad teams.


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