distance40 wrote:NYBuckeye96,
You seem to know whats goin on.. what do you think will happen to Marietta and Warren and if they do leave when do you think they will? It would be weird, not to make the trip to Washington County anymore
I only know things because I have connections at other schools that I consider very reliable sources for information. Whenever I report on something on a chat site, I always hold off until its pretty much a done deal. Otherwise, I just try to debate the merits of the advantages and disadvantages for things like league changes.
Marietta has already applied to join the ECOL. The ECOL Commissioner is even on record as saying he has an application from a 9th school (although he did not name the school for the media), and they are waiting for a 10th school to join at the same time to create an even number of teams in each of the new divisions in the ECOL. My sources tell me that Marietta is, in fact, the school that has applied to join the ECOL.
There seems to be no question that the ECOL will approve Marietta. The delay is simply waiting until a 10th school is added. There could even be up to three more additional schools added in addition to Marietta.
The ultimate goal of the ECOL expansion is to create a 12 team league with 2 divisions of 6 teams each. Right now, with the addition of Zanesville, they have two divisions of 4 teams each, plus an application from Marietta to join the league that is "sitting on the ECOL's commissioners desk" waiting to be voted on.
Now having said all of the facts, this is what I think we will see happen........
Within the next 3-4 months, Marietta will be approved to join the ECOL as a member of the big school division, along with Zanesville, Dover, Cambridge, and New Philadelphia.
There are still debates on who will be added to the small-school division. Several schools are considering applying, but as of now, none of them have applied. Marietta is the only school with an application to join the ECOL that has yet to be acted on, and I see a vote coming in 3-4 months at the latest, maybe even by the end of this year.
Based on everything that is happening in the ECOL, and the fact that Marietta has already applied to join, I think it is a done deal that Marietta will be in the ECOL.
I also think that Warren will continue to look for possibilities outside of the SEOAL. With Marietta joining the ECOL, Warren will have even more incentive to leave the SEOAL. When Marietta leaves, Warren will no longer have any local schools in its league and every league game will be a long drive.
Concerning Warren.......I don't see things being as certain as the situation at Marietta. This is what I do know.......Warren wants in the TVC. Warren applied about a year or so ago, and almost had the votes to get in. However, the TVC has changed dramatically since the last Warren vote. When Warren tried to join, Athens had just joined to create a 7 team TVC OHIO, along with a 6 team TVC HOCKING. Since then, South Gallia and Wahama have joined as members of the Hocking and Belpre has moved down to the Hocking. This has created a mismatch in the TVC: a 6 team TVC OHIO and a 9 team TVC HOCKING. When Warren applied previously - there was no need at that time to add a larger school. Since then, two small schools have been added AND the smallest TVC OHIO school has moved down to the Hocking. Now, all of a sudden, there is a need to add TVC OHIO-size schools. This could be schools as large as Warren or as small as a River Valley.
I also think that the TVC will have a debate on the merits of expanding to three divisions or remaining at two divisions. I don't know how that debate will turn out, but I think it's inevitable that that debate will happen.
Warren doesn't have a lot of other options outside of the TVC. The MVL would be a good fit for them, but I don't think they would have the votes to be admitted to the MVL. Some MVL schools hate driving to Morgan, and Warren would be an even further drive for them. Also, the MVL already has an 8 game league schedule in football. Adding one more league school would mean each MVL team would only have 1 non-league game. There is absolutely no interest in the MVL to create two divisions. Those schools all like playing each other. Even D5 Crooksville is opposed to creating a large school and small school division.
The only other option I even see possible for Warren would be for Warren to also apply to the ECOL. I do not know if that is even something Warren is considering or not. Those would create long drives like in the SEOAL, but they would all be interstate travel for the most part. Also, I do not know if the ECOL is interested in Warren or not, but the ECOL is definately interested in expanding.
I think the most likely scenerio, if Warren were to leave the SEOAL, would be for Warren to re-join the TVC, where they were league members from 1969-1986. I think that the addition of Athens to the TVC has opened the door for at least one more school that is about the size of Athens to join the league. And with the recent changes in the TVC, the TVC needs to add at least one more larger school to balance out the number of smaller schools in the league in the newly expanded TVC Hocking.
If the Washington County schools leave the SEOAL, all of a sudden, those remaining in the SEOAL do not have long drives to league games, with the exception of Portsmouth to Logan.
If you have a SEOAL of Logan, Chillicothe, Jackson, Gallia Academy, and Portsmouth, that greatly reduces travel time for all schools involved.