Region 27 Playoffs

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OvGuy
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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by OvGuy »

Buckeye2021 wrote: Thu Oct 14, 2021 11:25 am [quote=formerfcfan post_id=<a href="tel:1959866">1959866</a> time=<a href="tel:1634225028">1634225028</a> user_id=132]
[quote=TheBaller post_id=<a href="tel:1959861">1959861</a> time=<a href="tel:1634224172">1634224172</a> user_id=15676]
I think River is a team you cant sleep on, seemed to have turned things around and have gained some players back from injury. They almost beat Shadyside in week 6. Possible cinderella team come November.
They'll lap Caldwell and at least be an 8-seed.

Can they lap Frontier in the standings, even if they beat Frontier?
[/quote]

I think frontier loses next 2 games
[/quote]

Next week is a coin flip between MC and Frontier with MC being my pick.

River names the score in their next two atleast getting the 8 seed and then once again I think they roll week 11. With their fire power offensive it’ll be interesting to see if they start rolling how far they can go. Not many teams can pass for 400 in the region.


beg003
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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by beg003 »

I could also see River being a team that will give some teams fits. Not many teams in D7 are capable of spreading the field on offense. Defenses at that level don’t see that very often, if at all. Their QB is a good athlete and they have much more outside skill than other small schools.


OvGuy
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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by OvGuy »

Correct me if I’m wrong but it appears that barring something unforeseen the top 13 or so seeds appear to be pretty set so with that said what upsets or unexpected deeper runs does every see or can see happening?

Again I agree with a lot of the above that a River team tossing it around the yard like they can is going to pose a problem even for the more successful teams in the region.


Buckeye2021
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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by Buckeye2021 »

OvGuy wrote: Sun Oct 17, 2021 6:46 am Correct me if I’m wrong but it appears that barring something unforeseen the top 13 or so seeds appear to be pretty set so with that said what upsets or unexpected deeper runs does every see or can see happening?

Again I agree with a lot of the above that a River team tossing it around the yard like they can is going to pose a problem even for the more successful teams in the region.
I think the top 13 are in . In what order I’m not sure I believe nc and river are locked in where there at , can Berne pass shady or east Knox move up maybe , can Trimble find a big points game or if they don’t play at all will Waterford jump them idk, in the bottom half who jumps to 8 , going to be allot figured out Friday


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Glousterite
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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by Glousterite »

formerfcfan wrote: Sat Oct 09, 2021 1:34 am
Glousterite wrote: Sat Oct 09, 2021 1:23 am Maybe I stand corrected? Berne had an impressive win tonight. We will see if NC drops a game next week when they are tested. 1-5 seems set point wise.
WC would probably be a 6-10 range team in our region. Game was 14-7 BU with a score right before half. Punt return TD puts them up 20-7. I guess composure and penalties, which is the well-known problem for BU, was an issue again tonight (at least early on.)

Doubt NC loses to Heath.
They did, but looks like it didn’t hurt then point wise. Still sitting at #1


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Glousterite
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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by Glousterite »

Buckeye2021 wrote: Sun Oct 17, 2021 10:40 am
OvGuy wrote: Sun Oct 17, 2021 6:46 am Correct me if I’m wrong but it appears that barring something unforeseen the top 13 or so seeds appear to be pretty set so with that said what upsets or unexpected deeper runs does every see or can see happening?

Again I agree with a lot of the above that a River team tossing it around the yard like they can is going to pose a problem even for the more successful teams in the region.
I think the top 13 are in . In what order I’m not sure I believe nc and river are locked in where there at , can Berne pass shady or east Knox move up maybe , can Trimble find a big points game or if they don’t play at all will Waterford jump them idk, in the bottom half who jumps to 8 , going to be allot figured out Friday
As it sits right now, looks like we’d be lined up to play Danville. That would be a tough first round match up. Hopefully we find a game week 10 to get some points.


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ttomcat 80
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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by ttomcat 80 »

Don’t we play Danville they will probably lose to East Knox but if they win they move up


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OvGuy
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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by OvGuy »

I think the region goes chalk in week 10 for the most part so I think the matchups you see are more or less what you’re gonna get other than Trimble dropping if they don’t play.


Personal Foul
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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by Personal Foul »

OvGuy wrote: Sun Oct 17, 2021 9:27 pm I think the region goes chalk in week 10 for the most part so I think the matchups you see are more or less what you’re gonna get other than Trimble dropping if they don’t play.
Trimble won’t drop if they don’t play they might go up. Divisor should drop and will help them


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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by Broad Street »

If Trimble does not play a game week 10, their L2 divisor drops from 80 to 71. Average will shoot up to over 14.8


formerfcfan
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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by formerfcfan »

edit: i'm wrong on what I originally wrote. see the new numbers below
Last edited by formerfcfan on Mon Oct 18, 2021 11:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.


icanpickem
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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by icanpickem »

Does someone want to the projections for r27 like have been done for the other prominently SEO regions?


formerfcfan
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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by formerfcfan »

icanpickem wrote: Mon Oct 18, 2021 7:34 pm Does someone want to the projections for r27 like have been done for the other prominently SEO regions?
I will. Give me a couple hours.


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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by formerfcfan »

alright, gang, here's what I have for 11 through 16... N.B. I have Rosecrans beating Miller, FCA beating Millersport in all of these runs; I also have Centerburg beating Fredericktown in all of these. I have Mt. Gilead beating Cardington, if Cardington beats MG then add .05 to Danville's avg.

If Conotton Valley beats Madonna, and the following happen...

East Knox beats Danville, Southern beats Eastern
11. CV 6.625
12. FC 6.36
13. Rosecrans 5.356
14. FCA 5.02
15. Danville 4.88
16. Southern 4.73

East Knox beats Danville, Eastern beats Southern -- AND IF Beaver beats Green
11. CV 6.625
12. FC 6.36
13. FCA 5.441
14. Rosecrans 5.356
15. Eastern 5.019
16. Danville 4.88

East Knox beats Danville, Eastern beats Southern -- AND IF Green beats Beaver
11. CV 6.625
12. FC 6.36
13. Eastern 5.453
14. FCA 5.441
15. Rosecrans 5.356
16. Danville 4.88

Danville beats East Knox
Danville 8.1 (at least seed #11 -- slot everyone down below average 8.1 one spot accordingly.)

If CV loses to Madonna, they are at 4.48 -- seed #16. Arrange accordingly.


formerfcfan
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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by formerfcfan »

if Miller pulls off the miracle and beats Rosecrans, they are at 5.72 -- they're in and Rosecrans is out


OvGuy
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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by OvGuy »

formerfcfan wrote: Mon Oct 18, 2021 11:33 pm alright, gang, here's what I have for 11 through 16... N.B. I have Rosecrans beating Miller, FCA beating Millersport in all of these runs; I also have Centerburg beating Fredericktown in all of these. I have Mt. Gilead beating Cardington, if Cardington beats MG then add .05 to Danville's avg.

If Conotton Valley beats Madonna, and the following happen...

East Knox beats Danville, Southern beats Eastern
11. CV 6.625
12. FC 6.36
13. Rosecrans 5.356
14. FCA 5.02
15. Danville 4.88
16. Southern 4.73

East Knox beats Danville, Eastern beats Southern -- AND IF Beaver beats Green
11. CV 6.625
12. FC 6.36
13. FCA 5.441
14. Rosecrans 5.356
15. Eastern 5.019
16. Danville 4.88

East Knox beats Danville, Eastern beats Southern -- AND IF Green beats Beaver
11. CV 6.625
12. FC 6.36
13. Eastern 5.453
14. FCA 5.441
15. Rosecrans 5.356
16. Danville 4.88

Danville beats East Knox
Danville 8.1 (at least seed #11 -- slot everyone down below average 8.1 one spot accordingly.)

If CV loses to Madonna, they are at 4.48 -- seed #16. Arrange accordingly.
It should be a game but I do see Madonna beating CV


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93Bulldog
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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by 93Bulldog »

With no game week 10, does that pretty much lock Trimble into the 5 seed? Is there any chance of Waterford passing them?

I'm also curious where Trimble would have ended up had they beaten John Marshall?


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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by MrFirstTake »

93Bulldog wrote: Tue Oct 19, 2021 7:20 am With no game week 10, does that pretty much lock Trimble into the 5 seed? Is there any chance of Waterford passing them?

I'm also curious where Trimble would have ended up had they beaten John Marshall?
I’m not 100 percent how the points work sure I could figure it out but I feel they would probably be 1-2 if they beat John marshall


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OvGuy
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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by OvGuy »

93Bulldog wrote: Tue Oct 19, 2021 7:20 am With no game week 10, does that pretty much lock Trimble into the 5 seed? Is there any chance of Waterford passing them?

I'm also curious where Trimble would have ended up had they beaten John Marshall?
From the looks of things the top 7 are locked in.


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Re: Region 27 Playoffs

Post by Personal Foul »

93Bulldog wrote: Tue Oct 19, 2021 7:20 am With no game week 10, does that pretty much lock Trimble into the 5 seed? Is there any chance of Waterford passing them?

I'm also curious where Trimble would have ended up had they beaten John Marshall?
Trimble would have likely been the 1 seed at approx 20.331 average. 2 seed at worst


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